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"published": "2022-08-23T11:49:38Z",
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"content": "<p><a href=\"https://qoto.org/tags/cancer\" class=\"mention hashtag\" rel=\"tag\">#<span>cancer</span></a> <a href=\"https://qoto.org/tags/medicine\" class=\"mention hashtag\" rel=\"tag\">#<span>medicine</span></a> <a href=\"https://qoto.org/tags/malaria\" class=\"mention hashtag\" rel=\"tag\">#<span>malaria</span></a> </p><p>I made a few approximate calculations to estimate the importance of finding effective cures for cancer.<br />These are very rough estimates based on uncertain data, but definitely help understanding what we're trying to do and the importance of it.<br />I compared cancer with another disease: malaria.<br />There's no particular reason as to why I chose malaria, other that it's quite a widespread disease that causes a lot of troubles in certain places.</p><p>At the end of the toot I link all the sources I used, so that you can replicate the calculations if you wish; if you're going to do that maybe search for some better data, I didn't do any extensive research.<br />All data is referred to 2019, so we can exclude any effects due to covid limiting access to cures.</p><p>The cancer mortality rate changes with age, most people who die of cancer have more than 70 years.<br />Cancer deaths under 14 years: 0.40% of the total<br />Malaria deaths under 14 years: 56.81% of the total</p><p>Cancer total deaths: 10 million<br />Malaria total deaths: 558,000</p><p>Cancer deaths under 14: 40,000<br />Malaria deaths under 14: 317,000</p><p>So, as you can see cancer kills many more people than malaria, almost 18 times as many; however most of those people have more than 70 years and the global life expectancy is 73 years, thus it is not decreasing the length of life of people significantly.<br />Malaria kills much less people, however most of the people who die of malaria are children below 5 year, thus malaria kills most of the people 65 years before they would be expected to die.</p><p>Even though malaria kills less people than cancer overall, it kills almost 8 times more children below 14 than cancer.</p><p>I believe this rush in investing to find a cure for cancer to be stupid.<br />It would be nice to find a cure for cancer, but I believe there are more important diseases to cure in the world.<br />Unfortunately, most of the money and even public research is focused on cancer and not other critical diseases.</p><p>Sources:<br /><a href=\"https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/malaria-death-rates-by-age?country=~OWID_WRL\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\"><span class=\"invisible\">https://</span><span class=\"ellipsis\">ourworldindata.org/grapher/mal</span><span class=\"invisible\">aria-death-rates-by-age?country=~OWID_WRL</span></a><br /><a href=\"https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/cancer-death-rates-by-age?time=latest&country=~OWID_WRL\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\"><span class=\"invisible\">https://</span><span class=\"ellipsis\">ourworldindata.org/grapher/can</span><span class=\"invisible\">cer-death-rates-by-age?time=latest&country=~OWID_WRL</span></a><br /><a href=\"https://www.who.int/news-room/fact-sheets/detail/malaria\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\"><span class=\"invisible\">https://www.</span><span class=\"ellipsis\">who.int/news-room/fact-sheets/</span><span class=\"invisible\">detail/malaria</span></a><br /><a href=\"https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jamaoncology/fullarticle/2787350\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\"><span class=\"invisible\">https://</span><span class=\"ellipsis\">jamanetwork.com/journals/jamao</span><span class=\"invisible\">ncology/fullarticle/2787350</span></a><br /><a href=\"https://ourworldindata.org/life-expectancy\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\"><span class=\"invisible\">https://</span><span class=\"ellipsis\">ourworldindata.org/life-expect</span><span class=\"invisible\">ancy</span></a></p>",
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"en": "<p><a href=\"https://qoto.org/tags/cancer\" class=\"mention hashtag\" rel=\"tag\">#<span>cancer</span></a> <a href=\"https://qoto.org/tags/medicine\" class=\"mention hashtag\" rel=\"tag\">#<span>medicine</span></a> <a href=\"https://qoto.org/tags/malaria\" class=\"mention hashtag\" rel=\"tag\">#<span>malaria</span></a> </p><p>I made a few approximate calculations to estimate the importance of finding effective cures for cancer.<br />These are very rough estimates based on uncertain data, but definitely help understanding what we're trying to do and the importance of it.<br />I compared cancer with another disease: malaria.<br />There's no particular reason as to why I chose malaria, other that it's quite a widespread disease that causes a lot of troubles in certain places.</p><p>At the end of the toot I link all the sources I used, so that you can replicate the calculations if you wish; if you're going to do that maybe search for some better data, I didn't do any extensive research.<br />All data is referred to 2019, so we can exclude any effects due to covid limiting access to cures.</p><p>The cancer mortality rate changes with age, most people who die of cancer have more than 70 years.<br />Cancer deaths under 14 years: 0.40% of the total<br />Malaria deaths under 14 years: 56.81% of the total</p><p>Cancer total deaths: 10 million<br />Malaria total deaths: 558,000</p><p>Cancer deaths under 14: 40,000<br />Malaria deaths under 14: 317,000</p><p>So, as you can see cancer kills many more people than malaria, almost 18 times as many; however most of those people have more than 70 years and the global life expectancy is 73 years, thus it is not decreasing the length of life of people significantly.<br />Malaria kills much less people, however most of the people who die of malaria are children below 5 year, thus malaria kills most of the people 65 years before they would be expected to die.</p><p>Even though malaria kills less people than cancer overall, it kills almost 8 times more children below 14 than cancer.</p><p>I believe this rush in investing to find a cure for cancer to be stupid.<br />It would be nice to find a cure for cancer, but I believe there are more important diseases to cure in the world.<br />Unfortunately, most of the money and even public research is focused on cancer and not other critical diseases.</p><p>Sources:<br /><a href=\"https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/malaria-death-rates-by-age?country=~OWID_WRL\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\"><span class=\"invisible\">https://</span><span class=\"ellipsis\">ourworldindata.org/grapher/mal</span><span class=\"invisible\">aria-death-rates-by-age?country=~OWID_WRL</span></a><br /><a href=\"https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/cancer-death-rates-by-age?time=latest&country=~OWID_WRL\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\"><span class=\"invisible\">https://</span><span class=\"ellipsis\">ourworldindata.org/grapher/can</span><span class=\"invisible\">cer-death-rates-by-age?time=latest&country=~OWID_WRL</span></a><br /><a href=\"https://www.who.int/news-room/fact-sheets/detail/malaria\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\"><span class=\"invisible\">https://www.</span><span class=\"ellipsis\">who.int/news-room/fact-sheets/</span><span class=\"invisible\">detail/malaria</span></a><br /><a href=\"https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jamaoncology/fullarticle/2787350\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\"><span class=\"invisible\">https://</span><span class=\"ellipsis\">jamanetwork.com/journals/jamao</span><span class=\"invisible\">ncology/fullarticle/2787350</span></a><br /><a href=\"https://ourworldindata.org/life-expectancy\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\"><span class=\"invisible\">https://</span><span class=\"ellipsis\">ourworldindata.org/life-expect</span><span class=\"invisible\">ancy</span></a></p>"
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